樊春祥;张丽芬;宋凯军;温宁;苏琪茹;马超;郝利新;王华庆;李黎;

• 1:中国疾病预防控制中心免疫规划中心
• 2:云南省疾病预防控制中心
• 3:济南市疾病预防控制中心

摘要(Abstract)：

目的评估中国各省(自治区、直辖市,下同)2014年脊髓灰质炎(脊灰)野病毒(Wild Poliovirus,WPV)输入传播的风险,为制定应对策略并采取有效措施阻止WPV输入传播提供参考。方法在WPV输入传播风险评估工具的基础上,用两级指标评估WPV输入传播的风险。一级评估指标包括人群免疫情况、急性弛缓性麻痹病例监测信息报告管理系统运转质量和WPV输入风险,每项一级指标包含多个二级指标。收集相关资料并按照标准对各二级指标进行评分,累加各省的二级指标评分值得到各省分值,根据各省分值综合研判各省WPV输入传播的风险水平。结果西藏、新疆和青海3个省WPV输入传播风险水平为高风险,黑龙江等18个省为中风险,吉林等10个省为低风险。结论应参考WPV输入传播风险评估的结果,分类指导不同风险水平地区,采取有效的应对措施,巩固无脊灰成果。同时应根据维持无脊灰的动态变化,适时调整WPV输入传播风险评估所用的二级指标以适应实际情况。

关键词(KeyWords)： 脊髓灰质炎;输入传播风险;风险评估

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation):

作者(Authors): 樊春祥;张丽芬;宋凯军;温宁;苏琪茹;马超;郝利新;王华庆;李黎;

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